Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
0x4c574ca0Eb02b8cB78fae990379189862e4127C6-1781711523193
0x4c574ca0eb02b8cb78fae990379189862e4127c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.32
- Realized PnL
- $22.35
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.17
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.82
- Potential profit
- $137.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $69.85
- Potential profit
- $68.8
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $63.35
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.3
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.45
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.63
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or below on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $27.78
Yes position
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETDown 21% 23.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETUp 4% 125 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETUp 39% 12.82 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes 13% 18.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes 32% 18.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 17?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 17?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 17?Yes 4.3% 69.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 17?Yes 3.1% 65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or below on July 17?Yes 84.5% 36.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 17?Yes 3.8% 26.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 17?Yes 1% 100 shares