No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.61K
- Potential profit
- $36.61K
- User PnL
- -$68.96
Polymarket Trader
Carim
0x4c58341c65914daa99bf6bfc61837617d0003036
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $4.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- User PnL
- -$58.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 7AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$92.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$150
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $777.42
- Potential profit
- $777.42
- User PnL
- -$60.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$51.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $688.43
- Potential profit
- $688.43
- User PnL
- -$13.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$24.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 4PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $377.39
- Potential profit
- $377.39
- User PnL
- -$76.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1PM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $349.99
- Potential profit
- $349.99
- User PnL
- -$97.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 1AM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $349.98
- Potential profit
- $349.98
- User PnL
- -$59.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $329
- Potential profit
- $329
- User PnL
- -$59.34
Yes position
Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $304.95
- Potential profit
- $304.95
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.6
- Potential profit
- $300.6
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$81
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on December 7?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$70
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$70
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.98
- Potential profit
- $299.98
- User PnL
- -$79.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $670
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $586.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $202.42
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.45
Yes position
Will Battlefield 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $121.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 3AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.46
Weibo Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 10AM ET
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 2PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETUp 8.5% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETDown 25% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETDown 90% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETDown 24% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETDown 13% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8PM ETUp 14% 13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETUp 58% 59.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETUp 13% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8PM ETUp 5% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETUp 25% 40 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8PM ETUp 30% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETUp 19% 30 shares