No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $4.06K
- Potential payout
- $4.25K
- Potential profit
- $191.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $965.59
Polymarket Trader
CountStochasticThePrescient
0x4c58b938c1f4827cd5b9a61b4a0139a4e68013b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.74K
- Realized PnL
- $8.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.15K
- Potential profit
- $4.15K
- User PnL
- -$830.37
Yes position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- User PnL
- -$149.8
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.7K
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.75K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.1%
- Current value
- $954.9
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $845.1
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $829
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- User PnL
- -$501.7
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$252
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $182.4
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $990.58
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $41.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$384.24
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $788.4
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $11.6
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $259.94
Yes position
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $745.88
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$279.75
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $43.55
- Potential payout
- $610
- Potential profit
- $566.45
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$6.04
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$445.19
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $125.34
- Potential payout
- $525.53
- Potential profit
- $400.19
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $479.57
- Potential profit
- $479.57
- User PnL
- -$63.09
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $460
- Potential profit
- $460
- User PnL
- -$204.67
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $344
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $56
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $104.4
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $28.96
- Potential payout
- $319.99
- Potential profit
- $291.03
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $248.38
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $77
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $123
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$45
No position
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.9%
- Current value
- $135.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $64.3
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$29.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $861.79
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $854.24
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465.41
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.36
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.22
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.73
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.7
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.84
No position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.05
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.45
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.75
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.21
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.07
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.34
No position
X Money released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.99
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.31
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.79
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $153.88
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.57
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.49
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 59.9% 200 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 96% 312.5 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?Yes 8.1% 300 shares
- Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 94.4% 105.93 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.7% 100 shares
- Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 83.8% 170.95 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 8% 1,200 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No 98.1% 370 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 7.7% 2,000 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 74% 1,100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 7% 1,800 shares