Polymarket Trader

leo4747

0x4c5bb6a75281fd84a013ef79471b7406c0b6847e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $59.65
Realized PnL: $728.37
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$126.67

Yes position

Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$58.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.81
Potential profit: $129.81
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.11
Potential profit: $121.11
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.61
Potential profit: $83.61
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.37
Potential profit: $79.37
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.67
Potential profit: $70.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.28
Potential profit: $53.28
User PnL: -$9.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 75.4%
Current value: $39.32
Potential payout: $52.15
Potential profit: $12.83
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$6.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.75
Potential profit: $47.75
User PnL: -$4.77

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $20.34
Potential payout: $46.8
Potential profit: $26.47
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$9.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.59
Potential profit: $46.59
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $42.55
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.25
Potential profit: $36.25
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $32
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.15
Potential profit: $31.15
User PnL: -$9.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.65
Potential profit: $29.65
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 9?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.58

Magic position

Magic vs. Hornets

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.51

Blue Jays position

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on November 11?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.06

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on November 11?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.44

Medvedev position

Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.04

No position

Will Trump say "Thank you" 10+ times during the private dinner on November 12?

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.84

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.56

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.62

No position

Will Trump say "Rich country" or "Richest country" during Saudi PM events on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 88.1% 52.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 64.1% 46.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 93.5% 82.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 91% 82.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.9% 64.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 77% 64.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 98.4% 49.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 48% 10.42 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 75% 74.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 65% 74.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 73% 1.37 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 91.7% 50.16 shares