Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $357.14
- User PnL
- -$78.57
Polymarket Trader
theactualfedreserve69
0x4c5cc17335f1b8855cd3bf2cd7550b199f3b7fe1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.88
- Realized PnL
- $311.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
FULL SENSE position
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.21
- Potential profit
- $95.21
- User PnL
- -$65.08
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.1%
- Current value
- $9.88
- Potential payout
- $51.85
- Potential profit
- $41.97
- Multiplier
- 5.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.47
- Potential profit
- $46.47
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Up position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.28
- Potential profit
- $32.28
- User PnL
- -$19.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.87
- Potential profit
- $17.87
- User PnL
- -$9.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.35
- Potential profit
- $14.35
- User PnL
- -$7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.33
- Potential profit
- $14.33
- User PnL
- -$6.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.77
- Potential profit
- $12.77
- User PnL
- -$9.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.11
- Potential profit
- $9.11
- User PnL
- -$4.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- -$5.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.99
- Potential profit
- $6.99
- User PnL
- -$4.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.01
Over position
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $29.86
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.74
Hawks position
Knicks vs. Hawks
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?No 99.4% 84.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 7?Yes 99.9% 29.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?No 73% 27.4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETUp 59% 8.47 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes 19.3% 51.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 7?Yes 39.9% 19.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 7?Yes 39.8% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?No 67% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?No 69% 6.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?No 51.2% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETDown 53% 9.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETUp 44% 2.27 shares