Polymarket Trader

0x4C6A68AD49C44da012c760893267EEcB135997BE-1775679106556

0x4c6a68ad49c44da012c760893267eecb135997be

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.71
Realized PnL: $152.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $6.98
Potential payout: $221.62
Potential profit: $214.64
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $25.22
Potential payout: $43.86
Potential profit: $18.64
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $15.51
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $10.13
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$4.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.78

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $20.9

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.24

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

No position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 98.3%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.38

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 93.9% 24.5 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 81.6% 24.51 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 23% 96.15 shares
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

Yes 3.2% 221.61 shares
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Yes 2.8% 188.82 shares
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

No 3.3% 75.47 shares
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

No 5.3% 75.47 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Yes 2% 67.79 shares
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 29% 10 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

No 78% 25.64 shares
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 63% 31.25 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Yes 5.9% 67.8 shares