Polymarket Trader

Notinterestedthx

0x4c6e4a8c34c9f8f228f20b2c2140785254c32960

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $153.18
Realized PnL: $269.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Ends Mar 31, 2028

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $76.5
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$14.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$42.62

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $38.13
Potential payout: $52.96
Potential profit: $14.83
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$4.5

No position

Will G2 Make Finals at MSI 2026

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $41
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $9
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $15.87
Potential payout: $25.8
Potential profit: $9.93
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $19.37
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.79
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$8.79

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.44

Yes position

Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.1
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$5.5

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8

Movistar KOI position

LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will G2 Make Finals at MSI 2026

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Karmine Corp position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.96

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.78

DRX position

LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.68

Team Vitality position

LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.16

Fnatic position

LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.66

Los Ratones position

LoL: Team Heretics vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.56

No position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 6PM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Oh My God position

LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.69

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.62

Anyones Legend position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Top Esports position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

DN Freecs position

LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)

T1 85% 20 shares
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)

T1 85% 10 shares
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Yes 55% 5.8 shares
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Yes 63% 10 shares
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Yes 62% 10 shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

Karmine Corp 48% 5 shares
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

G2 Esports 72% 5 shares
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Movistar KOI 40% 5 shares
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner

Movistar KOI 41% 6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Yes 15.1% 32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Yes 8.9% 33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Yes 14.9% 32 shares