Polymarket Trader

VagO

0x4c71a5a3d66ea5958e4df431d2b7f216a488c6b3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.77
Realized PnL: -$9.26
Win rate: 26.1%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $459.5
Potential profit: $459.5
User PnL: -$18.23

Yes position

Diddy released by July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $368.11
Potential profit: $368.11
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

East African countries agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.78
Potential profit: $56.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.61
Potential profit: $4.61
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.77
Potential payout: $2.77
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani tweet 40 or more times Tuesday?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran / Israel" 15+ times during his NATO speech?

Ends Jun 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear weapon" during his NATO speech?

Ends Jun 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Trump say "Russia / Ukraine" 5+ times during his NATO speech?

Ends Jun 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

FIFA Club World Cup: 150+ Goals Scored?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Megaquake in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.84

Yes position

Will Trump say "Elon" during his NATO speech?

Ends Jun 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 205–219 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 190–204 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fuck" again in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Uranium" during his NATO speech?

Ends Jun 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Sanction" during his NATO speech?

Ends Jun 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 69-70°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Qatar military action against Iran by Friday?

Ends Jun 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?

No 64% 2.77 shares
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

Yes 2.3% 50 shares
Diddy released by July 4?

Yes 6.6% 45.45 shares
Megaquake in 2025?

Yes 32% 9.37 shares
Diddy released by July 4?

Yes 1.2% 322.65 shares
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?

Yes 21.7% 4.61 shares
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Yes 1.5% 400 shares
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Yes 98.8% 10.41 shares
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 20–27?

Yes 6.7% 14.93 shares
Will Elon tweet 190–204 times June 20–27?

Yes 1% 101.5 shares
Will Elon tweet 205–219 times June 20–27?

Yes 0.3% 350.23 shares
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?

Yes 42% 4.76 shares