Polymarket Trader

babykeno

0x4c77deeb92f9334ce689c72bdd1089ba97fbefd5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $82.03
Realized PnL: $410.04
Win rate: 68.4%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398.6
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$18.6

Yes position

Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $20.13
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $154.88
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $154.54
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Elon Bull Run Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $15.49
Potential payout: $133
Potential profit: $117.51
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: -$8.45

Yes position

Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $12.6
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $92.4
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$2.1

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.26
Potential profit: $98.26
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.25
Potential profit: $85.25
User PnL: -$18.76

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $24.85
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $45.15
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $7.09
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $29.27
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.91

No position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12.6

No position

Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.74
Potential profit: $16.74
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.82
Potential profit: $6.82
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.53

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.2

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.75

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.96

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.16

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $7

Baltimore Orioles position

Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.71

Yes position

Will CA Barracas Central vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $0.06

CA Barracas Central position

Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 16-22?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.2

Wizards position

Pistons vs. Wizards

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 American League Championship?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Yes 67.9% 60 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Yes 23% 100 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 60% 19.51 shares
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Yes 2.7% 155 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

No 22% 85.25 shares
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?

No 36% 5.56 shares
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026?

No 44% 6.82 shares
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?

No 23.9% 16.74 shares
Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?

Yes 7% 6.01 shares
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

No 81% 30 shares
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 5.3 shares
Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)

CA Barracas Central 7% 27.77 shares