No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$331.2
Polymarket Trader
Elowen-Gotobed
0x4c86c9575bd8012f9545a6f61442e013a78f6f1b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.08K
- Realized PnL
- $701.78
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- User PnL
- $21.81
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $975
- Potential profit
- $975
- User PnL
- -$222.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $60.97
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.42
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $94.4
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $77.55
No position
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.03
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $16.8
No position
Bitway FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.70x
- User PnL
- $10.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
No position
Bitway FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Bitway FDV above $10M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.46
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$3.07
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$18.7
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$24.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 16?No 99.9% 61 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 58.4% 107.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?No 98% 259 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?No 99.7% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?No 99.6% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?No 99% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?No 98.9% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?No 98.8% 67.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?No 98.8% 60 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?No 98.8% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?No 97% 8.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?No 96.8% 49.02 shares