No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $567.55
- Potential profit
- $567.55
- User PnL
- -$414.31
Polymarket Trader
MichalBitcoin
0x4c8e1dc10467033471c276cdf8376e03be69acc1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $92.81
- Realized PnL
- $957.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $273.37
- Potential profit
- $273.37
- User PnL
- -$194.09
No position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $62.81
- Potential payout
- $153.19
- Potential profit
- $90.38
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $120
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$33
Patriots position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111
- Potential profit
- $111
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.44
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.6
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.3
Browns position
Ravens vs. Browns
Ends Oct 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.88
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.5
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.9
No position
Ethereum above $3,300 on August 2?
Ends Aug 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.05
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.58
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.53
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.6
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.18
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on September 19?
Ends Sep 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Will Solana reach $250 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Puffer airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes 42% 150 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?No 38% 153.19 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 75% 580 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 52% 340.5 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No 67% 100 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 9% 111 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 92% 15 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 268.24 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?No 73% 567.55 shares
- Seahawks vs. PatriotsPatriots 32% 150 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?No 48% 230 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?Yes 15% 110 shares