Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $40.43
- Potential payout
- $102.36
- Potential profit
- $61.93
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$9.81
Polymarket Trader
0x4c94...ffad
0x4c9497941333332d29f1c235dd23200f3623ffad
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $133.94
- Realized PnL
- $9.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $93.47
- Potential payout
- $93.47
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $57.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $84.86
- Potential profit
- $84.81
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $403.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $402.6
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $383.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $383.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $351.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 28% 197 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No 92% 18 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No 73% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No 73% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No 73% 6 shares
- Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?No 5% 66 shares
- Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?Yes 4.9% 70 shares
- Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Yes 70% 8 shares
- Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No 27% 36.5 shares
- Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No 28% 36.5 shares
- Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No 27% 13 shares
- Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?No 92.5% 6 shares