Polymarket Trader

0x4C965fC7D356c79C83C2E2020C589f473bA736C9-1735210770768

0x4c965fc7d356c79c83c2e2020c589f473ba736c9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $572.42
Realized PnL: -$287.25
Win rate: 77.8%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $415.38
Potential payout: $439.56
Potential profit: $24.18
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $15.39

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $344.83
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $157.04
Potential payout: $221.18
Potential profit: $64.14
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $30.04

No position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $163.93
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.47

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.32

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.72

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.27

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.91

No position

Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.35

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.66

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.87

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.07

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.54

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.26

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.93

No position

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.58

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.9

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$55.52

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$204

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$445.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

No 91% 439.56 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

No 57.4% 221.18 shares
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?

No 81.3% 527.47 shares
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?

No 92% 429.35 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?

No 97.2% 405.81 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?

No 86% 405.81 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 91% 110.38 shares
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by April 30?

No 96% 239.51 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

No 97.9% 215.05 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

No 93% 215.05 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 29% 344.83 shares
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

No 61% 163.93 shares