9df

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $367
Potential profit: $364.98
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$14.57

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $13.8
Potential payout: $260.42
Potential profit: $246.62
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: -$88.65

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $18.2
Potential payout: $242.65
Potential profit: $224.45
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$20.24

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $228
Potential profit: $227.32
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$21.06

Yes position

Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $195
Potential profit: $190.22
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $21.85
Potential payout: $190.01
Potential profit: $168.16
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$62.55

Yes position

Obama divorce before 2027?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $10.98
Potential payout: $182.96
Potential profit: $171.98
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$1.51

Yes position

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $30.28
Potential payout: $178.14
Potential profit: $147.86
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$10.05

Yes position

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $11.45
Potential payout: $176.1
Potential profit: $164.65
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $8.66
Potential payout: $173.12
Potential profit: $164.47
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$1.51

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $159.99
Potential profit: $159.27
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$10.24

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $145.8
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $11.21
Potential payout: $149.41
Potential profit: $138.21
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$6.67

Yes position

Brex IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $141.99
Potential profit: $140
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$6.31

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $13.33
Potential payout: $133.27
Potential profit: $119.95
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $5.98
Potential payout: $132.98
Potential profit: $126.99
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$8.95

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $130.01
Potential profit: $128.97
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$9.13

Yes position

Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $11.57
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $118.43
Multiplier: 11.24x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $127.5
Potential profit: $126.73
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$8.32

Yes position

Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $126.9
Potential profit: $123.92
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $4.12
Potential payout: $123
Potential profit: $118.88
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Databricks IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $28.44
Potential payout: $121
Potential profit: $92.57
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $3.47

Yes position

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $26.45
Potential payout: $117.54
Potential profit: $91.1
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $3.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.96

Yes position

Canada recession before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.37

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $78.38

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.94

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.74

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.82

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.3

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $58 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.51

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.93

Yes position

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.79

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $32.89

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.5

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.98

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $62 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.8

Yes position

Vanta IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $28.74

Yes position

Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.48

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.35

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?