Polymarket Trader

ClayLawson

0x4ca00884d056f83209d52f9b3dd07767d5de90e0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $97.65
Realized PnL: $102.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.8
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$22.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $24.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $75.05
Multiplier: 4.01x
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $71.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $23.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$24.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$32.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$3.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $365 Week of May 4 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will White House post 200+ posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 23.3% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 48.5% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 19.3% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or higher on June 14?

No 99.9% 11.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 14?

No 99.9% 11.01 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 14?

Yes 99.2% 6.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 14?

No 99.9% 6.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?

No 99.9% 6.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 11?

No 99.8% 15.03 shares
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 7?

No 99.9% 10.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 7?

No 99.9% 5.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 7?

No 99.9% 10.01 shares