Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $9.77
- Potential payout
- $26.41
- Potential profit
- $16.64
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $1.85
Polymarket Trader
0x4ca4...5c04
0x4ca4d91e8c7e993f0df777458c972cb982e65c04
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $147.87
- Realized PnL
- $170.7
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $12.6
- Potential payout
- $15.85
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $4.68
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $7.43
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $13.39
- Potential payout
- $13.78
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.26
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $6.76
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $6.24
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $10.77
- Potential payout
- $11.83
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $10.78
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $8.17
- Potential payout
- $10.68
- Potential profit
- $2.51
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $8.2
- Potential payout
- $10.13
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $8.69
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.13
- Potential payout
- $9.77
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.03
- Potential payout
- $9.66
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $4.43
- Potential payout
- $9.43
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $8.62
- Potential payout
- $9.32
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $7.14
- Potential payout
- $9.21
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.03
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $4.11
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $5.52
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.84
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.78
Yes position
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.37
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.09
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89
No position
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89
Up position
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89
Yes position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
Yes position
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 48% 15 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7?Up 34% 7.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 77.2% 7.58 shares
- Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 39% 12 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 67% 10.4 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes 28% 10.75 shares
- Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of June 22 2026?Yes 24% 6.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No 73% 6.59 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No 47% 13 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 47% 9.7 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 94% 8.89 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 62% 8 shares