No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $15.93
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Polymarket Trader
DailyTrendSpot
0x4ca69d22950b721a9c5e725587dd9f991cb24cdd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.07
- Realized PnL
- $41.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Stephen F. Austin position
Stephen F. Austin vs. Northwestern State
Ends Feb 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.55
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89
Robert Morris position
Robert Morris vs. Cleveland State
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $4.77
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Brentford win on 2025-01-14?
Ends Jan 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will there be less than 400k rides on the DC metro on Jan 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will Trump and Elon say "China" 10 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?
Ends Feb 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 65% 5 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 66% 65 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 13% 50 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 13% 75 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 11% 51 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 9% 139 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 18% 10 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes 7% 163 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 44 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 17% 150 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 95.1% 52 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 95.6% 52 shares