No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $97.28
- Potential payout
- $103
- Potential profit
- $5.72
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.97
Polymarket Trader
guancai
@StephanieL83023
0x4cade295fdeed1f6cfd5068a8481b85572ac47af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $97.28
- Realized PnL
- $0.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on May 22?No 99.9% 104.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 8?No 99.8% 104 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?Yes 99.4% 103 shares