Polymarket Trader

0x4cAF2c7C0Ea0411a6DBD4F5420001F180F5Db74A-1761648363452

@0502_gb

0x4caf2c7c0ea0411a6dbd4f5420001f180f5db74a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.21
Realized PnL: $937.83
Win rate: 61.1%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Magic

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.9
Potential profit: $499.9
User PnL: -$169.97

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $418.26
Potential profit: $418.26
User PnL: -$37.64

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $360
User PnL: -$32.4

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Suns

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$31.5

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.02
Potential profit: $349.02
User PnL: -$233.84

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Thunder

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $332.35
Potential profit: $332.35
User PnL: -$83.09

Pelicans position

Pelicans vs. Knicks

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $310
User PnL: -$74.4

Grizzlies position

Celtics vs. Grizzlies

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$30

Grizzlies position

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$104.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $297.88
Potential profit: $297.88
User PnL: -$144.61

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Bulls

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $290
Potential profit: $290
User PnL: -$223.3

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Spurs

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $280
User PnL: -$16.8

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Hawks

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.98
Potential profit: $267.98
User PnL: -$133.99

Magic position

Magic vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246.85
Potential profit: $246.85
User PnL: -$143.17

Hawks position

Knicks vs. Hawks

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $231.69
Potential profit: $231.69
User PnL: -$122.79

Suns position

Suns vs. Celtics

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$48

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Pelicans

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$94

Nets position

Nets vs. 76ers

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$43.2

Nets position

Hornets vs. Nets

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.09
Potential profit: $175.09
User PnL: -$15.76

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Celtics

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$21

76ers position

76ers vs. Hawks

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$44.66

Yes position

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $2.66
Potential payout: $69.98
Potential profit: $67.32
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$1.47

No position

Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $23.55
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Hornets

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Celtics

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.2

Raptors position

Heat vs. Raptors

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.4

Spurs position

Celtics vs. Spurs

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.58

Celtics position

Hornets vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Warriors

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.73

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Bucks

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.3

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Jazz

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.3%
Multiplier: 2.55x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$6.4

No position

Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.5B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$15.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?

Yes 5.9% 16 shares
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.5B by June 30?

No 12.1% 20 shares
Rockets vs. Lakers

Rockets 66% 116.33 shares
Rockets vs. Lakers

Rockets 67% 460.69 shares
Magic vs. Celtics

Magic 58% 243.7 shares
Pistons vs. Hornets

Pistons 40% 568.76 shares
Heat vs. Raptors

Raptors 62% 273.62 shares
Timberwolves vs. Magic

Timberwolves 34% 489.8 shares
Hornets vs. Celtics

Celtics 68% 196.16 shares
Knicks vs. Hawks

Hawks 53% 228.37 shares
Bulls vs. Knicks

Bulls 9% 406.52 shares
Lakers vs. Thunder

Lakers 25% 324.7 shares