Polymarket Trader

Pancito

0x4cb27cf1d977b5af50d17999076d22179a158c1f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.3
Realized PnL: $6.67
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 122m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $492.11
Potential profit: $492.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $331.5
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.13
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.33
Potential profit: $183.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $165.75
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.81
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.58
Potential profit: $99.58
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $98.82
Potential profit: $97.39
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.22
Potential profit: $78.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.71
Potential profit: $59.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $53.34
Potential profit: $52.84
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $50.46
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $40.78
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.25
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $31
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.2

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes 5.7% 17.64 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 75% 1.33 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 19.4% 5.15 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 3.7% 27.03 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 25.2% 3.97 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.7% 58.82 shares