Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $93.02
- Potential payout
- $6.64K
- Potential profit
- $6.55K
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $30.37
Polymarket Trader
Predictive-Market
0x4cd9bd13280cf974d61b2351471c0755f03735b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $396.53
- Realized PnL
- $69.24
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $218.76
- Potential payout
- $6.25K
- Potential profit
- $6.03K
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- $185.93
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $23.21
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $11.83
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $33.75
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $416.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$13.75
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $11.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $238.88
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$13.87
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $6.35
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $243.65
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $2.23
- Potential payout
- $154
- Potential profit
- $151.77
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $8.09
- Potential payout
- $73.53
- Potential profit
- $65.44
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$16.91
Yes position
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.52
- Potential profit
- $59.52
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.25
Yes position
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.83
Yes position
Will High Point win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Virginia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.85
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 57% 42.37 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 11% 250 shares
- Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 64% 156.25 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 1.5% 159 shares
- Will High Point win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes 1.4% 345.33 shares
- Will High Point win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes 0.2% 2,500 shares
- Will Virginia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes 0.9% 1,000 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 2.1% 2,425.58 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 0.2% 1,000 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 99.8% 32.89 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 76% 32.89 shares
- US strike on Mexico by March 31?Yes 26% 96.15 shares