Polymarket Trader

vitorloures

0x4cea9e38d5f3a0c7d2b487a221c21dca5336c297

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.49K
Realized PnL: $2.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $27
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.97K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $9.25
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.69K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$60.75

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $3.03K
User PnL: -$51.99

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $988.64
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$11.36

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $27.04
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$22.96

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $20.88
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$46.52

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $11.93
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$28.07

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $40.35
Potential payout: $701.75
Potential profit: $661.4
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $90.71
Potential payout: $395.27
Potential profit: $304.56
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $10.71

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $31.56
Potential payout: $283.02
Potential profit: $251.46
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $195.6
Potential payout: $218.54
Potential profit: $22.95
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$7.4

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $30.07
Potential payout: $146.34
Potential profit: $116.27
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $14.88
Potential payout: $118.6
Potential profit: $103.72
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$5.12

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.34
Potential profit: $56.34
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.18
Potential profit: $15.18
User PnL: -$11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $455.58

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.33

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.57

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.6%
Multiplier: 4.43x
User PnL: $126.72

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.54

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.06

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.32

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.24

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.03

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: $81.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.7

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.71

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.2

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.07

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.55

No position

US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.78

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $32.69

No position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.55

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.3

No position

Will sports prediction markets be banned in any U.S. state in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.24

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.03

No position

US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.56

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 44% 2,272.73 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 701.75 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 283.02 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23.8% 210.08 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.5% 146.34 shares
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.1% 10,518.75 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.8% 1,538.47 shares
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Yes 93% 215.05 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 84% 112.72 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 53% 3,373.88 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 26.3% 1,059.38 shares
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.2% 228.9 shares