Polymarket Trader

Mogensen

0x4ceb57729076dd4ab1912ee54b8a4cdddb0ae818

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.55
Realized PnL: $106.63
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $692.31
Potential profit: $692.31
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $624.85
Potential profit: $624.85
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $9.59
Potential payout: $581.06
Potential profit: $571.47
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.87
Potential profit: $265.87
User PnL: -$35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $104.17
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will anyone say "Password" during Rick and Morty E5 S9?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $37.96
Potential payout: $85.31
Potential profit: $47.35
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $12.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Greatest" during UFC 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$4.41

Yes position

Will Trump say "White House" during UFC 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$11.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Up 99% 174.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Up 26% 96.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Up 32% 78.13 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17?

Yes 1.7% 581.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Down 24% 104.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Up 3% 166.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Up 3% 166.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Up 10.9% 229.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Up 40% 62.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Down 13% 192.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Down 7% 71.43 shares