Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Polymarket Trader
0x4CeEA38BEBa264aB5AbbBdb0326735E471Aac1A6-1774886435113
0x4ceea38beba264ab5abbbdb0326735e471aac1a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.39
- Realized PnL
- $154.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.99
- Potential profit
- $52.99
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C or higher on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $52.5
- Potential profit
- $51.82
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.01
- Potential profit
- $45.01
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $40.44
- Potential profit
- $39.65
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.4
- Potential profit
- $26.4
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $2.58
- Potential payout
- $15.64
- Potential profit
- $13.06
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $15.58
- Potential profit
- $15.57
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.28
- Potential profit
- $14.28
- User PnL
- -$2.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $13.37
- Potential profit
- $12.08
- Multiplier
- 10.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $13.33
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.19
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C or higher on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $12.18
- Potential profit
- $11.81
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $6.72
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $1.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.23
- Potential profit
- $10.23
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.66
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.64
- Potential profit
- $6.64
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.16
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 2?Yes 21% 4.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 2?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 2?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 2?Yes 97.4% 5.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 2?Yes 1.8% 55.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C or higher on July 3?Yes 1.9% 52.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C or higher on July 2?Yes 15.8% 6.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 3?Yes 48% 6.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 3?Yes 27% 11.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 3?Yes 15% 13.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on July 3?Yes 2.5% 40.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 2?Yes 86.8% 5.76 shares