Polymarket Trader

elpphzqxhtqi

0x4cf28a95ddca17a04445afbf4f2e542720b288ca

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $103.84
Realized PnL: $455.69
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Ends Dec 31, 2028

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $78.81
Potential profit: $69.31
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: -$0.5

Over position

England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $8.82
Potential payout: $15.35
Potential profit: $6.52
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $12.68
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $10.94
Potential payout: $11.82
Potential profit: $0.89
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $8.21
Potential payout: $10.45
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.16

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $9.78
Potential profit: $4.89
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $7.87
Potential profit: $7.09
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$5.71

No position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $6.74
Potential payout: $7.48
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $4.27

Sara Bejlek position

Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sara Bejlek vs Panna Udvardy

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $3.56
Potential payout: $7.12
Potential profit: $3.56
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$1.57

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $4.5
Potential profit: $2.72
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.07

Joao Fonseca position

Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Marin Cilic

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $2.24
Potential payout: $4.47
Potential profit: $2.24
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $3.71
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$1.35

Alejandro Tabilo position

Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $3.65
Potential profit: $1.83
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $2.69
Potential payout: $3.54
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $3.41
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $3.27
Potential payout: $3.31
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.22

Andrea Pellegrino position

BMW Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Giustino vs Andrea Pellegrino

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $3.28
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.15

Reign Above position

Counter-Strike: Reign Above vs Marsborne (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $3.22
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $3.01
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $2.97
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $2.96
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $2.49
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.49

Diana Shnaider position

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.81

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.6

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.63

Under position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.93

Over position

St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.87

Zachary Svajda position

Roland Garros ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Adam Walton

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.63

Under position

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.62

Finland position

World Championships: Canada vs. Finland

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.53

Greet Minnen position

Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Greet Minnen vs Lola Radivojevic

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.23

Seattle Mariners position

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.66

Sho Shimabukuro position

Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.48

Mavericks position

Bulls vs. Mavericks

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27

SSG Landers position

KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.26

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 22, 6PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?

Yes 12.7% 78.81 shares
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

New York Yankees 51% 2.28 shares
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

New York Yankees 51% 1.17 shares
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

New York Yankees 49% 0.38 shares
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

New York Yankees 49% 0.18 shares
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios

Sho Shimabukuro 37% 13.46 shares
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Legacy 43% 21.19 shares
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres 47% 3.68 shares
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group C

Young Ninjas 54% 6.83 shares
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins

Arizona Diamondbacks 43% 3.86 shares
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Philadelphia Phillies 50% 3.74 shares
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics

Milwaukee Brewers 50% 3.8 shares