No position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.83
- Potential profit
- $4.83
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Polymarket Trader
0x4cf32DE05Bd5Ff974F2e42ec8FE1f66fa1212013-1772608974519
0x4cf32de05bd5ff974f2e42ec8fe1f66fa1212013
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.82
- Realized PnL
- $0.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $3.49
- Potential payout
- $4.56
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.41
- Potential payout
- $3.41
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $1.48
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $2.07
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 97.1% 5.39 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 44% 3.41 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Yes 58% 2.07 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 98.6% 5.35 shares
- Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No 38.7% 4.83 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 97.8% 1.33 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 99% 5.27 shares
- Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes 94% 1.49 shares
- Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 57% 4.56 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 84% 6.27 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 45% 3.33 shares