Polymarket Trader

gkjdrsj

0x4cf53ac48ca24776240ddafb6fc6bed2eb1450b6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.95
Realized PnL: $0.69
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.1
Potential profit: $31.1
User PnL: -$3.11

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $5.5
Potential profit: $0.88
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $5.33
Potential payout: $5.35
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Panthers position

Red Wings vs. Panthers

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.71

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.34

Jets position

Kraken vs. Jets

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

Pelicans position

Mavericks vs. Pelicans

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

No position

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

No position

Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Kings position

Canucks vs. Kings

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Barbora Krejcikova position

Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Renata Zarazua

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Thunder position

Lakers vs. Thunder

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.09

Penguins position

Penguins vs. Capitals

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.1

Predators position

Predators vs. Oilers

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.69

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Bulls

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.82

No position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.64

Ducks position

Ducks vs. Sharks

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

No 92% 5.5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 95% 5.35 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

No 92% 6.01 shares
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Renata Zarazua

Barbora Krejcikova 85% 5.89 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

No 83% 6.42 shares
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?

No 91% 5.51 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Yes 10% 31.1 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

No 92% 5.74 shares
Lakers vs. Thunder

Thunder 88% 6.26 shares
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Yes 78% 6.69 shares
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

No 79% 6.53 shares
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

No 89% 5.66 shares