Polymarket Trader

Sergio-Marquina

0x4cfd39f5c9fa0a5c6088547ab251c2f0cb305c91

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.61K
Realized PnL: $6.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $125
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.88K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.96K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.96K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.96K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $35
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.97K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.96K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $325
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.68K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $125

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.95K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $35
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.97K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$74.99

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $4.51K
Potential payout: $9.5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$752.76

Coalesce position

Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs eSuba (BO3) - United21 Group A

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $2.34K
User PnL: -$114.51

Sashi Esport position

Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs KOLESIE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$219.31

RUSTEC position

Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$198

SPARTA position

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$144.63

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $184.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $815.5
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $23.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $125.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $874.5
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $28.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $702.53

G2 position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $535.13

Rooster position

Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $398

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.9

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.28

9z position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $182.11

illwill position

Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $172.12

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $140.55

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.14

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.17

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $107.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.98

paiN position

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.48

K27 position

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75.44

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

G2 12% 130.24 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

G2 38% 2,000 shares
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Oxuji Esports 0.1% 65 shares
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Oxuji Esports 2% 128 shares
Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs eSuba (BO3) - United21 Group A

Coalesce 1.1% 10 shares
Counter-Strike: Coalesce vs eSuba (BO3) - United21 Group A

Coalesce 2% 17.91 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

G2 26% 1,000 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

9z 56.1% 1,000 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

9z 45% 500 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

9z 39% 999.99 shares
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs

Oxuji Esports 8% 95 shares
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs

Oxuji Esports 37% 200.02 shares