Polymarket Trader

Bulybuly

0x4d0863fd460354f60cc223e65b8507a49dc4e5df

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.19
Realized PnL: $10.16
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $124.5
Potential profit: $124.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $71.51
Potential profit: $71.47
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.71

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

New pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 15.1% 6.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 142.86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 26.2% 64.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 124.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 2.6% 38.46 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 142.86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 215.93 shares
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 125 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 3.4% 29.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 25.2% 3.97 shares
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Yes 8.1% 12.5 shares