No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $593.64
- Potential payout
- $776
- Potential profit
- $182.36
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $97
Polymarket Trader
AmandaNeal6822
@Wrath974969
0x4d171ac512740c8756aa161a0ec2dfa54c491e5e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $981.2
- Realized PnL
- $3.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $323.61
- Potential payout
- $483
- Potential profit
- $159.39
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$24.15
$140 position
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.7%
- Current value
- $52.42
- Potential payout
- $297
- Potential profit
- $244.58
- Multiplier
- 5.67x
- User PnL
- -$33.71
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$15.4
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.76
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $16.25
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Yes position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 87.2%
- Current value
- $3.49
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.52
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Pau win?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.72
Yes position
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.5
Yes position
Will "Israel" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.23
Yes position
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $277
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Challenge" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $201.42
No position
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.5
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.21
Yes position
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.41
Yes position
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.57
Yes position
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $145.86
Yes position
Will "Weird" or "Weirdo" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.95
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $119.68
Yes position
Will Trump say "What's Up" this week? (March 22)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $108.72
No position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $107.97
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.86
Yes position
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.1
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.38
No position
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.27
Yes position
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.2
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.93
Yes position
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.8
No position
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.74
Levante UD position
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.18
Girl position
Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No 84% 679 shares
- Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?No 72% 483 shares
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 64% 776 shares
- Will "Software" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No 24% 2,867 shares
- Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No 71% 679 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No 79.1% 723 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?No 82.9% 272 shares
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 15% 795 shares
- Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?No 79% 522 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?No 83.5% 272 shares
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 14% 840 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No 86.8% 723 shares