Polymarket Trader

oneoftheppl

0x4d1de0d8bf27bbb1f34545e974cfb794ac8e01ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.48K
Realized PnL: $4.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.95K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $2.46K
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $143.05
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $20.94

No position

Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $13.6
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$318.36

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $16.35
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.03K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$22.29

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$83.22

Yes position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $39.6
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $860.4
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$635.4

No position

Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $562.65
Potential payout: $755.24
Potential profit: $192.59
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$74.48

No position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $7.67
Potential payout: $730
Potential profit: $722.34
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$179.88

Yes position

Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 92.1%
Current value: $658.45
Potential payout: $715.32
Potential profit: $56.87
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $713.3
Potential profit: $712.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$37.31

Infinite position

Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $264.78
Potential payout: $595
Potential profit: $330.23
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$3.97

Yes position

Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $583.81
Potential payout: $584.1
Potential profit: $0.29
User PnL: $27.19

No position

Erling Haaland: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $489.13
Potential payout: $559
Potential profit: $69.88
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $9.2

Yes position

Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $536.91
Potential payout: $547.03
Potential profit: $10.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Travelers Championship?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $483.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $16.75
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$7.05

No position

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Travelers Championship?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $497.01
Potential payout: $499.01
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: $15.47

Yes position

Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $4.48
Potential payout: $497.84
Potential profit: $493.36
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$302.62

Yes position

Will DR Congo reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $9.31
Potential payout: $490
Potential profit: $480.69
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: $0

No position

Algeria vs. Austria: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $391.23
Potential payout: $486
Potential profit: $94.77
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$31.87

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $348.75
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $101.25
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $6.55

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $416.05
Potential payout: $420.47
Potential profit: $4.41
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $180.15

Yes position

Will Kim David be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $397.01
Potential profit: $396.81
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.45

Yes position

Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $379.83
Potential payout: $380.02
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $11.49

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $271.7
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $108.3
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $13.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $587.4

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $587.27

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $577.51

No position

Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $512.73

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324.68

Yes position

Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.59

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.52

NRG position

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.35

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.49

No position

Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 13?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.91

No position

Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91

Team WE position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

No position

Will Alex Caruso win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.15

magic position

Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.85

Yes position

Will Alani Bankhead be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.68

No position

Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

Ends Aug 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.36

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.23

No position

Will Rom Reddy win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.04

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.04

Over position

Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.5

Yes position

Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.19

No position

Exact Score: Scotland 2 - 1 Brazil?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.45

No position

Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

No position

Patrik Schick: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Infinite 45% 30 shares
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Infinite 45% 5 shares
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Infinite 45% 35 shares
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Infinite 45% 5 shares
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Infinite 45% 87 shares
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Infinite 45% 7 shares
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Infinite 45% 26 shares
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Infinite 45% 100 shares
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Infinite 45% 100 shares
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Infinite 45% 100 shares
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 0 Belgium?

No 98.3% 64.01 shares
Jeremy Doku: 3+ goals

No 97.9% 17.02 shares