Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $677.97
- Potential profit
- $677.63
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Polymarket Trader
capetsa
0x4d36c0e0d1d3e9c10d17787272c9fbbf55d552f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $201.07
- Realized PnL
- $14.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $677.97
- Potential profit
- $677.63
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $677.97
- Potential profit
- $677.63
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $672.97
- Potential profit
- $672.63
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $667.97
- Potential profit
- $667.64
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $476.02
- Potential profit
- $474.12
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$73.35
Yes position
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.55
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Theo James announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.1
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
James Collier announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.85
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $297.96
- Potential profit
- $297.81
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.65
Yes position
Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $287.75
- Potential profit
- $287.61
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $287.75
- Potential profit
- $286.6
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $287.75
- Potential profit
- $287.32
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $287.75
- Potential profit
- $287.32
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $281
- Potential profit
- $268.5
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $2.37
Yes position
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $279.86
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $279.86
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $279.86
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $279.86
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $279.86
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $235.6
- Potential profit
- $235.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$76.16
Yes position
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $229.89
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $179.91
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $1.91
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $114.56
Yes position
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $179.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
No position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
No position
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $944.95
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $938.79
No position
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $589.76
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $523.56
No position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.21
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.64
No position
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $369.34
Yes position
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.75
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $289.69
No position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.26
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $284.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.05
No position
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.35
No position
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.96
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.29
No position
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.41
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.12
Yes position
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.85
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 9?Yes 0.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 9?Yes 99.8% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 9?Yes 0.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on April 9?Yes 99.7% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on April 9?Yes 0.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 9?Yes 99.4% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 9?Yes 0.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 9?Yes 1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 9?Yes 0.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on April 9?Yes 0.2% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 9?Yes 1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on April 9?Yes 0.2% 3.55 shares