Polymarket Trader

royo1010

0x4d374f511d17c13a871355dc3a472b36ed8348ab

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $255.14
Realized PnL: $127.67
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $254.1
Potential payout: $254.22
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $114.4

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.3
Potential profit: $18.3
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $1.81
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be 47°F or higher on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.62

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.82

No position

Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 51-52°F on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 54-55°F on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 68-69°F on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 49-50°F on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 35-36°F on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

$3000 position

Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 49-50°F on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Yes 73% 54.38 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 13% 44.69 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 35% 2.86 shares
Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?

No 35.7% 28 shares
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Yes 50% 199.84 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

No 93% 268.82 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 12?

Yes 87.2% 57.32 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 10?

No 95.1% 17.65 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 10?

No 79.3% 17.65 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?

Yes 66.1% 75.62 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?

Yes 35% 51.72 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?

Yes 87% 51.72 shares