Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $8.89K
- Potential payout
- $10.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Polymarket Trader
slobber
0x4d417fb3c36b435dd5ba5f038c42ca70890b6aca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.26K
- Realized PnL
- -$7.84K
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $192.1
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- -$7.9
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- User PnL
- -$345
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $177.61
- Potential payout
- $1.96K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- -$22.38
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- User PnL
- -$600
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$159
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $860
- Potential profit
- $860
- User PnL
- -$129
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $815.87
- Potential profit
- $815.87
- User PnL
- -$500
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $748.21
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.23
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.69
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$28.79
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$124.22
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$262.45
No position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.54K
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.62K
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$5.37K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 71.9% 1,458.56 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 20.6% 1,458.56 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.5% 7,033.15 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 64.8% 10,050.1 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 12.9% 12,289.04 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 38.1% 4,939.17 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No 9.4% 4,365.51 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?Yes 15% 860 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 49% 816.33 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 70.9% 4,939.17 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 49.5% 3,955.72 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No 44.6% 4,365.51 shares