Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $141.43
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$76.79
Polymarket Trader
oscart
0x4d41fcae76154fd5aad46a244bf235ed41c7b115
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.1K
- Realized PnL
- $917.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $164.28
- Potential payout
- $229.76
- Potential profit
- $65.48
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$35.72
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $17.42
- Potential payout
- $17.47
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.55
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.93
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.43
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.23
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.59
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.57
Yes position
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $12.44
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.04
Yes position
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.22
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will Texas Tech win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?Yes 96.9% 2,064.64 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No 87% 229.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 13.1% 718.95 shares
- Will Paraguay concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 98.7% 13.17 shares
- Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 97.3% 17.47 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 15.3% 718.95 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 79% 177.22 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 79% 1,844.3 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 41% 292.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 75.3% 2,303.26 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 92% 2,303.26 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 98.6% 2,136.84 shares