Polymarket Trader

0x4d43aD6696e954B5718FC617be916109C702FDDC-1764087506650

0x4d43ad6696e954b5718fc617be916109c702fddc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $404.76
Realized PnL: $788.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.04
Potential profit: $327.04
User PnL: -$308.79

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $276.99
Potential payout: $301.08
Potential profit: $24.09
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$3.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286.84
Potential profit: $286.84
User PnL: -$183.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $211.6
Potential profit: $211.6
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.49
Potential profit: $145.49
User PnL: -$101.09

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.57
Potential profit: $135.57
User PnL: -$115

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.61
Potential profit: $132.61
User PnL: -$92.67

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $98.24
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $19.41
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$1.76

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.08
Potential profit: $106.08
User PnL: -$99.72

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.23
Potential profit: $103.23
User PnL: -$96

No position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $29.53
Potential payout: $93.75
Potential profit: $64.22
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $51.28
User PnL: -$50

Japan position

Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.06
Potential profit: $44.06
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$3

Italy position

Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuela

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.24
Potential profit: $27.24
User PnL: -$1.91

Timberwolves position

Pelicans vs. Timberwolves

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$20

Knicks position

Pacers vs. Knicks

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.87

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.41

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.57

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.92

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.11

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.56

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.73

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.81

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.66

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.9

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.27

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.02

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.83

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.73

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 93% 301.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 99.9% 108 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 85% 117.65 shares
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 32% 93.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 92.6% 108 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 87.3% 114.49 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

74.2% 26.74 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

No 53% 28.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 93.8% 63.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 94.6% 63.41 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

48.2% 10.37 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23?

37.4% 13.37 shares