Yes position
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $80.76
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$0
Polymarket Trader
shiepapito
0x4d45927738376db79e72c78f4a2f9637c424652a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.03K
- Realized PnL
- $3.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $185.11
- Potential payout
- $552.55
- Potential profit
- $367.45
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$3.35
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $11.94
- Potential payout
- $442.35
- Potential profit
- $430.4
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$47.41
Yes position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $145.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $154.5
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $37.5
Yes position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $93
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $207
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $72
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $128
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $8
N
No position
Will Uzbekistan be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $184.89
- Potential payout
- $185.54
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $47.73
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $103.79
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Yes position
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $50.4
- Potential payout
- $125.99
- Potential profit
- $75.59
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$16.69
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $98.35
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $11.54
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$64
Yes position
Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.19
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $95.86
- Potential profit
- $95.04
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Yes position
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $28.72
- Potential payout
- $87.03
- Potential profit
- $58.31
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $2.53
Yes position
Will The Weeknd perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $77.86
- Potential profit
- $75.79
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Will Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $3.97
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $51.59
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
Will Ariana Grande feature Nicki Minaj on Petal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.75
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Will Ariana Grande feature The Weeknd on Petal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.6%
- Current value
- $19.35
- Potential payout
- $40.7
- Potential profit
- $21.35
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $37
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.26
- Potential profit
- $38.26
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.64
- Potential profit
- $33.64
- User PnL
- -$6.14
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $28.11
- Multiplier
- 15.87x
- User PnL
- -$2.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1440.00 and 1459.99 at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.95
No position
Will "Manchild - Sabrina Carpenter" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.48
Yes position
Will AWP | Printstream win the HLTV Skin of the Year award?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.15
No position
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.35
Yes position
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.49
Yes position
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.68
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199
No position
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.57
Yes position
Will "Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Yes position
Will Shayne say "Venezuela" during 60 Minutes?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.85
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96
Yes position
Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.83
No position
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.08
No position
Will $PUP receive a perp listing by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.54
No position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.27
No position
Will Pacto Histórico win 27-29 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.1
No position
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $70.22
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in December?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.16
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.29
Yes position
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1450.00 and 1474.99 on December 31 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.48
Yes position
Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Yes 30.1% 87.03 shares
- Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No 25.5% 38.44 shares
- Will Uzbekistan be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No 99.5% 185.54 shares
- Will Uzbekistan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Yes 96.8% 342.2 shares
- Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?No 99.7% 223.24 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91% 109.89 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 33% 151.52 shares
- Will Curaçao be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No 99.4% 250.8 shares
- Will Uzbekistan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Yes 95.8% 342.2 shares
- Will Qatar be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Yes 88% 500 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 59% 143.23 shares
- Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 223.24 shares