Polymarket Trader

Ishtark

0x4d4779ce6bee0dd6b15c884b1cb55af76ce40ed2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.66
Realized PnL: $1.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.63K
User PnL: -$42.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$59.88

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $996.5
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$46.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $905.09
Potential profit: $905.09
User PnL: -$36.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $630
Potential profit: $630
User PnL: -$50.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $560
Potential profit: $560
User PnL: -$50.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $380
User PnL: -$51.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $319.84
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$51.04

Team Liquid position

LoL: Dignitas vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $287.27
Potential profit: $287.27
User PnL: -$197.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.1
Potential profit: $169.1
User PnL: -$67.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.37
Potential profit: $154.37
User PnL: -$83.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $115
User PnL: -$94.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$51.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.89
Potential profit: $42.89
User PnL: -$27.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $116.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.85

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.88

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Lakers position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.5

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.32

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.55

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.5

BBL Esports position

Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

No 2% 2,500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 11,565.6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Yes 8% 593.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?

Yes 7.1% 47.16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?

Yes 5.4% 135 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 13.5% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 24.6% 220 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 12.8% 442 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 3.4% 262.81 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 2,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 5.6% 900 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 7.9% 620 shares