No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $16.9
- Potential payout
- $31.3
- Potential profit
- $14.4
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.95
Polymarket Trader
anti-CCP-investor
0x4d511c1e36bb15dac71ee2b71efb4955b9080c39
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.9
- Realized PnL
- -$19.75
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.41
- Potential profit
- $15.41
- User PnL
- -$13.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.98
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.69
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $6.26
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.58
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.21
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.55
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$28.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?No 73% 31.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?Yes 81% 28.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?Yes 59.3% 28.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?No 48.2% 37.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?No 49.1% 37.14 shares
- Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?Yes 76% 24.89 shares
- Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?Yes 77% 24.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETDown 64% 14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETDown 85% 29.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETDown 1% 44.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETDown 37% 13.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETDown 34% 14.71 shares