Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $11.59
- Potential payout
- $77
- Potential profit
- $65.41
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Polymarket Trader
amour88
@amour_88_
0x4d57bdaeebd548c018bb4fb424ab232e6760419c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.58
- Realized PnL
- $14.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $24.61
- Potential payout
- $25.05
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.24
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.9%
- Current value
- $16.38
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.62
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $742.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $713.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $713.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $686.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $672.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $650.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $637.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $637.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $619.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $609.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $605.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $593.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $584.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $572.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $565.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $548.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $547.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $547.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 25?No 98.5% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 25?No 99.6% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETDown 30% 16.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp 95% 5.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 23?No 99.7% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 40°C on June 23?No 99.7% 5.3 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.2% 25.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?No 6% 166.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?No 8% 30 shares
- Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 0.7% 80 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.2% 50.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?Yes 55% 10 shares