0x4d59...1e2f

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $25.32
Potential payout: $144.7
Potential profit: $119.38
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $9.32

No position

Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $31.59
Potential payout: $68.68
Potential profit: $37.09
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $3.59

No position

Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 30.9%
Current value: $13.4
Potential payout: $43.37
Potential profit: $29.97
Multiplier: 3.24x
User PnL: $6.15

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $10.01
Potential payout: $23.54
Potential profit: $13.54
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $4.01

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $14.43
Potential payout: $15.05
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $12.89
Potential payout: $14.9
Potential profit: $2.01
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $12.82
Potential payout: $14.61
Potential profit: $1.79
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.21
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 86.4%
Current value: $10.93
Potential payout: $12.65
Potential profit: $1.72
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.93

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $12.04
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $0.46
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $10.68
Potential payout: $12.34
Potential profit: $1.67
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $10.38
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $4.56
Potential payout: $8.21
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $7.22
Potential payout: $7.98
Potential profit: $0.76
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $7.65
Potential payout: $7.68
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $5.37
Potential payout: $5.94
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $5.6
Potential profit: $4.39
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $5.54
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $4.51
Potential payout: $5.46
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $4.23
Potential profit: $3.79
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $2.51
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $2.34
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $2.45
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $2.41
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.42

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.26

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.98

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.22

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.09

No position

Will Solana dip to $60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.59

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.64

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.31

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.37

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.43

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.57

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.52

No position

Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.82

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $11.77

No position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.38

Yes position

Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.34

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.21

No position

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?