Polymarket Trader

tradingwhat

0x4d5e3ebf03769a2361ea2c97d67c54c11004a877

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $285.43
Realized PnL: $100.9
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.01K
Potential profit: $10.01K
User PnL: -$12.51

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $3.1K
User PnL: -$56.14

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$27.49

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $16.12
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$48.12

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$178.49

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$5.45

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $113.75
Potential payout: $943.97
Potential profit: $830.22
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: -$18.77

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $18.4
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $781.6
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$34.26

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $22.8
Potential payout: $799.99
Potential profit: $777.19
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $509.98
Potential profit: $508.2
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$5.86

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $499.96
Potential profit: $496.21
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $310
User PnL: -$5.78

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305
Potential profit: $305
User PnL: -$7.31

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $12.57
Potential payout: $303
Potential profit: $290.42
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $298.94
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $184
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $170.7
Potential profit: $169.33
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$5.31

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $122.56
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$5.06

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $58
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $42
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.85
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$1.95

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $13.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $36.75
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.12

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 34.8%
Multiplier: 2.87x
User PnL: $19.78

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 20?

Yes 0.1% 827.65 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 20?

No 8% 40 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 20?

No 8% 40 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 20?

No 14% 200 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

No 8% 200 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?

No 3.2% 123 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?

No 3% 240.38 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 62% 100 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 20?

No 0.2% 14.15 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 20?

Yes 1% 150 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 28% 43.81 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Yes 0.8% 20 shares