No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$22.89K
Polymarket Trader
torrest
0x4d73a91d2434a6041011283931b788946266bae7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.12
- Realized PnL
- $199.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.22K
- Potential profit
- $17.22K
- User PnL
- -$14.11K
Yes position
Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.03K
- Potential profit
- $13.03K
- User PnL
- -$7.01K
Yes position
Lee Jun-seok arrested by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.54K
- Potential profit
- $8.54K
- User PnL
- -$333.17
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.88K
- Potential profit
- $7.88K
- User PnL
- -$1.84K
Yes position
Lee Jun-seok in jail in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $4.51K
- User PnL
- -$1.42K
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.2K
- User PnL
- -$969.97
Yes position
Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$163.8
Yes position
Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$592.77
Yes position
Will two people dissent the September Fed decision?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$632.36
Yes position
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$463.63
Yes position
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$170.03
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$779.99
Yes position
Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $838.56
- Potential profit
- $838.56
- User PnL
- -$639.75
Yes position
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $667.67
- Potential profit
- $667.67
- User PnL
- -$222.67
No position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $499.98
- User PnL
- -$384.99
No position
Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $230
- User PnL
- -$172.5
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $82.62
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$68.65
Yes position
Will there be No Shutdown?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.39K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.81K
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.08K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.72K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.07K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.71K
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.71K
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57K
Yes position
Kweon Seong-dong in jail by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3K
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23K
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36K
No position
Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82K
Yes position
Will no vote occur on a new funding bill by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47K
Yes position
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
No position
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Yes position
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?Yes 93.1% 749.99 shares
- Han Duck-soo in jail by January 31?Yes 80% 500 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No 99.9% 1,681.5 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No 99.5% 999.99 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes 2.1% 5 shares
- Choo Kyung-ho in jail by December 31?Yes 0.2% 499.99 shares
- Lee Jun-seok in jail in 2025?Yes 0.1% 10 shares
- Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?Yes 0.1% 7,824.1 shares
- Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?Yes 0.4% 1,400 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes 99.8% 43,271.26 shares
- Choo Kyung-ho in jail by December 31?Yes 21.6% 1,573.14 shares
- Choo Kyung-ho in jail by December 31?Yes 22.9% 1,114.86 shares