No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $14.72
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
Shary637
0x4d73e5378e0293ebdc7b4814b6297aa0c09c40fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.72
- Realized PnL
- $1.8
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.90x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 55°F or higher on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 66°F or higher on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Russell Henley win The 2025 Masters?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Alexis Ohanian buy TikTok before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 92% 16 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 34% 2 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89% 47 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 15% 9 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 34% 137 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 34% 139 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 91% 52 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 91% 47 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 10.7% 3 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 40% 117 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 64% 73 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 66% 73 shares