Polymarket Trader

Vengance

0x4d7cf7beb54672b11f25718c1381e925f51693b2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.24K
Realized PnL: $4.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$74.1

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $469.95
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $185.64

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $10.45
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$10.45

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.7%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $218.62
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $218.89

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $20.88
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$5.04

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $31.45
Potential payout: $370
Potential profit: $338.55
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$24.05

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $39.95
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $300.05
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $44.14
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $265.86
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: -$6.08

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $303.03
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.89
Potential profit: $193.89
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.38
Potential profit: $187.38
User PnL: -$99.31

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$52.48

Yes position

Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $30.1
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $109.9
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $127.4
Potential profit: $126.38
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$8.98

Yes position

Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$26.04

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $17.6
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $62.4
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $0.8

Thanasi Kokkinakis position

Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$20.8

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$15

Alejandro Tabilo position

Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $51.28
User PnL: -$20

Orel Kimhi position

Centurion: Orel Kimhi vs Giles Hussey

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $799.2

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $526.7

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $438.9

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.5

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.58

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.9

Yes position

Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.21

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.5

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.7

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.27

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.08

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.02

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.2

Thanasi Kokkinakis position

Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmane

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.36

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.62

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.93

Jannik Sinner position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.24

Andrey Rublev position

Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.5

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.17

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.13

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.62

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.99

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.2

Yes position

Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

No 73% 419.25 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

No 72% 269.01 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

No 90% 808.89 shares
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18% 140 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 340 shares
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21% 80 shares
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 14% 100 shares
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 26% 100 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 76.7% 6.46 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 76.5% 20.21 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

No 15% 370 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 75.5% 30.81 shares