No position
AWS service disrupted by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $12.87
- Potential payout
- $13.15
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Polymarket Trader
Tredsaz
@PawanRa66769272
0x4d7d9c686138621567dfe7c70b6618fd9f44898b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.56
- Realized PnL
- $3.18
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.7
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Another Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
10-year Treasury yield below 4% before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Harris win Virginia by 6+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 16–23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Aston Villa lead the EPL in points at midway point?
Ends Jan 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- AWS service disrupted by June 30?No 91.2% 13.15 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 86% 25.86 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 87% 25.86 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 92% 8.7 shares
- Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Yes 97% 10.31 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.2% 25.72 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.3% 25.72 shares
- Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?No 99.8% 17.54 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 97.1% 43.33 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 97.5% 43.33 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes 93% 21.13 shares
- Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?No 99.1% 19.82 shares