Polymarket Trader

Squanchy.

0x4d891f7bbf1de5a2c74cb9d718dc64cb743a5382

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.71K
Realized PnL: $10.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $2.66K
Potential payout: $22.66K
Potential profit: $20K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $792.36

No position

Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $60.11
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.79K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$1.04K

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.2%
Current value: $161.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $838.5
Multiplier: 6.19x
User PnL: -$165.03

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $14.88
Potential payout: $725.76
Potential profit: $710.88
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$36.75

Yes position

Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?

Ends Dec 18, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $409.06
Potential payout: $462.22
Potential profit: $53.16
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $23.58

No position

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $393.74
Potential payout: $396.91
Potential profit: $3.18
User PnL: $46.82

Yes position

Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?

Ends Dec 18, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $6.93
Potential payout: $8.94
Potential profit: $2.01
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.36K

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $3.75 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.08

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.75

No position

Will G2 Esports win Masters Santiago 2026?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.95

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.71

Yes position

Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.31

Yes position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $43.39

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.68

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $3.50 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on March 20?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.88

No position

Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.01

FaZe Clan position

Rainbow Six Siege: FaZe Clan vs Black Dragons e-Sports (BO3) - South America League Kickoff Playoffs

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.4

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $3.35 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.52

Yes position

Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.7

No position

Will All Gamers win Masters Santiago 2026?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.08

No position

Will Gentle Mates win Masters Santiago 2026?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.46

Shopify Rebellion position

Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.23

No position

Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.92

Virtus.pro position

Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.37

Yes position

Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16.5m and 18m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.97

ENTERPRISE Esports position

Rainbow Six Siege: ENTERPRISE Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Yes 4.9% 447 shares
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?

Yes 80% 8.94 shares
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?

Yes 83.4% 462.22 shares
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?

Yes 1% 130.81 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 12,658.23 shares
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 1.6% 656 shares
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

Yes 84.7% 162.07 shares
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?

Yes 25.4% 80.18 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

No 68% 361.52 shares
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

No 11% 69 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Yes 49.2% 11.17 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

No 74% 316 shares