Polymarket Trader

CryptoLiu

@Crypto_Liuzx

0x4d8a31c1bbe22eeb1e3d296170371202c6042953

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.67K
Realized PnL: $6.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $300.77
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $236.98

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.86
Potential profit: $999.86
User PnL: -$4

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $842.24
Potential profit: $842.24
User PnL: -$780.27

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $27.53
Potential payout: $514.63
Potential profit: $487.1
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $52.72
Potential payout: $359.86
Potential profit: $307.14
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $21.77

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $20.68
Potential payout: $256.92
Potential profit: $236.24
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$5.52

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $11.12
Potential payout: $215.94
Potential profit: $204.82
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $6.28
Potential payout: $206.02
Potential profit: $199.74
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $11.01
Potential payout: $205.86
Potential profit: $194.85
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $22.3
Potential payout: $205.49
Potential profit: $183.19
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $39.29
Potential payout: $205.16
Potential profit: $165.87
Multiplier: 5.22x
User PnL: $6.26

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $28.41
Potential payout: $205.15
Potential profit: $176.74
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$5.03

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $115
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $85
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $85
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $115
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.67
Potential profit: $102.67
User PnL: -$13.35

Yes position

Jude Bellingham: 1+ assists

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.2
Potential profit: $102.2
User PnL: -$28.62

Yes position

Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.17
Potential profit: $102.17
User PnL: -$29.63

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$9.3

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$26

LGD Gaming position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$38.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.35

LNG Esports position

LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 Winner

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.89
Potential profit: $80.89
User PnL: -$50.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $516.75

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.27

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.44

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.29

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.05

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.07

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.02

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.98

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.27

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.21

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.42

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.39

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.07

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.24

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.04

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.14

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.17

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Daniel Muñoz: 1+ goals

Yes 99% 881.6 shares
Daniel Muñoz: 1+ goals

Yes 95% 10 shares
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assists

Yes 28% 102.2 shares
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals

Yes 29% 102.17 shares
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assists

Yes 41% 71.26 shares
Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Yes 63% 80.89 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?

No 33.5% 90.85 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23?

Yes 99.3% 10 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 22?

Yes 98.9% 10 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 99.9% 78.31 shares
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 IR Iran?

Yes 13% 15.4 shares
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 IR Iran?

Yes 11% 18.49 shares