Polymarket Trader

0x4DA0Ba13DBF1557053F2ceE043CF7b4344e35FF1-1775858971238

0x4da0ba13dbf1557053f2cee043cf7b4344e35ff1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $45.12
Realized PnL: $55.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $18.45
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $219.64
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $7.46
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $156.48
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$2.54

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $41.12
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $7.38
Potential payout: $34.25
Potential profit: $26.87
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $2.38

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $32.05
Potential profit: $27.87
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.75
Potential profit: $31.75
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $19.05
Potential profit: $16.48
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$5.43

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.04
Potential profit: $13.04
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $6.77
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $8.77
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.57
Potential profit: $8.57
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.26
Potential profit: $8.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.62
Potential profit: $6.62
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $3.52
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.1
Potential profit: $4.1
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.09
Potential profit: $4.09
User PnL: -$1.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.22

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.28

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

Yes position

France to score first vs. Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32

Yes position

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.57

Charles Radtke position

UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.7%
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

No 99.6% 5.63 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.1% 163.93 shares
France to score first vs. Senegal?

Yes 99.9% 13.33 shares
France to score first vs. Senegal?

Yes 75% 13.33 shares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 19% 4.54 shares
Senegal to score first vs. France?

Yes 15% 17.85 shares
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5

Over 59% 10.17 shares
Senegal to score first vs. France?

Yes 28% 17.86 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 51% 11.76 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 46% 13.04 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 15% 5.31 shares
Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Yes 15% 8.33 shares