No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $44.55K
- Potential payout
- $54K
- Potential profit
- $9.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $5.83K
Polymarket Trader
degensruletheworld
0x4da76bbf120899fc10fa6e0aad4bffdd19a7355e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $146.47K
- Realized PnL
- $116.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $38.98K
- Potential payout
- $39.31K
- Potential profit
- $334.16
- User PnL
- $394.58
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.99K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- $10.34K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $13.47K
- Potential payout
- $14.01K
- Potential profit
- $532.27
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $274.16
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $544.46
- Potential payout
- $11.97K
- Potential profit
- $11.42K
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$811.39
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $10.13K
- Potential payout
- $10.14K
- Potential profit
- $15.21
- User PnL
- $1.87K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $8.46K
- Potential payout
- $9.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.4K
- Potential payout
- $7.78K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $193.82
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $3.89K
- Potential payout
- $6.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $4.96K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $42.5
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$155
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $29.42
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $293.21
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $197.45
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $20.43
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $30.13
- Potential payout
- $115.87
- Potential profit
- $85.74
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $24.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.31K
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.78K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.61K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5K
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1K
Yes position
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88K
No position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
Yes position
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
Yes position
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Yes position
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 53% 3,306.49 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 57% 356.58 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 61% 8,127.52 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 39% 7,971.23 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 2.6% 180 shares
- Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes 30% 32 shares
- Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes 31% 58.06 shares
- Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes 32% 100 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 34% 120 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 34% 60 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?Yes 5% 85.87 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 5.3% 1,208.3 shares